5 things you didn't know about York's Dante Festival (Day 3, Yorkshire Cup)

May 15th, 2013

 

Positive GB Bred Runners

British Bred runners have a excellent record in the Yorkshire Cup winning 11 of the last 16 renewals from 55 runners. That's a 20% strike rate and a profit of £13 to a £1 level stake at SP and represents a 46% improvement over the expected 7.5 winners. British Bred runners in this years renewal are Cavalryman, Glen's Diamond, A Boy Named Suzi, Quiz Mistress, Guarantee and Top Trip.  

Negative IRE Bred Runners

On the flip side Irish Bred runners have under-performed with just 3 winners from 54 runners when the expected is 6.3. They are under-performing by 52%. Irish Bred runners in this years renewal are Royal Diamond, Joshua Tree and Sir Graham Wade.  

Experience Matters

In the Yorkshire Cup horses aged under 6 have won 8 of the last 16 renewals and horses aged 6+ have won the other 8 renewals. However the younger brigade are overbet which is reflected in their prices and a expected winners of 10.15 in comparison to 5.7 for 6yo+ horses. The 6yo+ horses have won 41% more races than expected in comparison to the under 6yo who have performed 21% under expectations. Horses aged 6yo+ running in this years race are Royal Diamond, Joshua Tree and Cavalryman, the rest are in the under 6yo group.  

Market Leaders

The front of the market have dominated the Yorkshire Cup in the last 16 renewals with 10 winners being either favourite or 2nd favourite. That's from 27 runners and you could have backed them all and made £11 to SP. The expected winners is 7.4 so this statistic is currently performing 36% better than expected. Currently the favourite is Cavalryman and the second favourite is Joshua Tree.  

Best Trainer

In the last 16 Yorkshire Cup's the trainer with the best record is Saeed Bin Suroor with 3 wins and 1 place from 12 runners. This year he saddles Cavalryman.