5 things you didn’t know about the Charlie Hall Chase (Wetherby)November 1st, 2013
Can Long Run get back to winning ways?
Let’s use the power of Proform Professional to determine if there are any factors that count against him
Play it Again Sam
Horses that won last time out have secured 9 of the last 16 races, a 234% better than expected performance. In this year’s renewal there are no recent winners although horses that ran within 2 lengths of the winner in their recent race have accounted for a couple of winners so Long Run gets a notional tick.
Five Star Venues
Horses that had recent runs at Aintree, Cheltenham and Kempton account 13 of the last 16 winners with runners from Aintree having a 70% better than expected performance. A cross for Long Run in that his recent run was at Punchestown.
The Older Guard
Horses aged 8 or over have won 14 of the last 16 renewals of the Charlie Hall with 8 years olds winning 6 races in total. An off the charts A/E index of 7.33! At the aged of 8, Long Run gets a massive tick.
Head of the Pack
In 16 renewals of the Charlie Hall, 15 races have won by horses in the top 4 of the betting. Although the favourite’s performance over these races is 3% below expectations. Long Run is currently the market leader although valued minded punters may choose to look elsewhere.
First Day Back at the Office
Horses returning from a layoff of greater than 150 days account for 14 of the last 16 races. 4 runners in the declared field of 11 have already experienced the Monday morning blues having already raced this season. Long Run gets a tick returning from a 192 day course absence
We’ve only chose five factors to assess the merits of Long Run and there are many additional statistics at our disposal using Proform Professional. However based on the factors chosen above, we’ll watch Long Run’s return and enjoy the spectacle