5 things you didn't know about the Rose Of Lancaster StakesAugust 8th, 2013
The top trainer with a runner in this years renewal is Sir Michael Stoute with 3 winners from 8 runners in the last 15 years with a further 2 placing. This year he runs Telescope.
This Group 3 race is open to 3 year olds or over and it is the 3 year olds that have dominated the race with 9 winners from the last 15 renewals. This is from a small pool of 34 runners and represents a better than expectations strike rate of 46%. You could have backed all of the 34 qualifers and made a £27 profit to a £1 stake at SP. Besides the 9 winners there were also a further 5 placed horses. This years sees just one 3 year old, Telescope.
Last Time Out Course
Horses which turn up here on the back of a run at Sandown or Newbury last time out win 82% more races than expected. They have won 8 of the last 15 renewals from just 29 runners for a profit to SP of £26. This years qualifiers who ran at Sandown or Newbury last time out are City Style, Black Spirit and David Livingston.
Just under half of the last 15 renewals have been won by the favourite. This is 17% above expectations.
3rd or worse Last Time Out
We don't necessarily need to have horses that won or ran 2nd last time out, in fact the value lies in backing those that were 3rd or worse last time out. This profile gives us 8 of the last 15 winners from 63 runners and a above expectations percentage of 24%. This year we have Sri Putra, City Style, Black Spirit, Area Fifty One, David Livingstone, Rewarded and Noble Mission.