5 things you didn't know about the Super SprintJuly 19th, 2013
Using the horse runs profiling tool in Proform we can see that the optimum number of runs in the last year, 3 months and 1 month for the Sper Sprint are, 2 to 5 runs in the last year, 2 to 5 runs in the last 3 months and just 1 final prep run in the last month. Horses fitting this run profile have won 11 of the last 15 renewals from 166 runners, which is 34% above expectations. Horses fitting this profile running today are :- Orton Park, Alutiq, Meritocracy, Biography, Eccleston, Hopefilly, Khalice, Oasis Town and Morning Post.
Horses drawn in stalls 1 and 2 have won 4 of the last 15 renewals from 30 runners with a further 4 of these placing. They are winning way above expectations (128%) albiet from a small sample. However it is backed up by the overall draw statistics for 12 runner+ 5f sprints at Newbury. Horses drawn 1 and 2 this year are :- Lilbourne Lass and Gym Shoes.
The trainer with most winners in the last 15 years is Richard Hannon (not surprising really given his profile with 2 year olds). he has had 4 winners and a further 5 placed horses BUT this is from 63 runners so his actually below expectations. For future reference Tim Easterby has a good record in the Super Sprint with 3 winners from 14 runners with 2 others placing, however he has no runners this year. William Haggas is the next best with 2 winners from just 6 runners and a further two of these placed, so 4 from 6 win and place. Richard Hannon has the following runners this year Biography, Bird of Light and Lilbourne Lass. William Haggas runs Haikbidiac.
Group Race Last Time Out
7 of the last 15 winners of the Super Sprint ran in a Group race last time out from just 46 runners producing a profit of £19 to a £1 stake at SP. This is 88% above expectations based on the prices the runners were sent off. This year we have the following runners coming out of a group race last time out :- Alutiq and Eccelston.
Course Last Time Out
12 of the last 15 winners ran at either Newmarket or Ascot last time out. This is from 85 runners and is 82% better than expected. This years runners who ran LTO at Ascot or Newmarket are :- Alutiq, Der Blaue Reiter, Haikbidiac and Eccleston.
Eccleston and Alutiq qualify on 3 of the stats above, while qualifying on two counts are Haikbidiac, Biography and Lilbourne Lass