Key Trends: Royal Ascot: Day 4

June 16th, 2016

The Commonwealth Cup and CORONATION STAKES share equal billing on day 4 of Royal Ascot and of the two, the latter provides a rich abundance of historical stats and facts which we can number crunch using Proform.

Here are the key trends for the race:


Position in Market

Horses ranked in the first three in the betting are 14/19 and perform 21% above market expectation. So far they have produced a profit of £17.68 (30.48% ROI) to a £1 stake at Betfair starting prices.

Raced at Newmarket Last Time Out

Coronation Stakes winners who ran at Newmarket last time out have won 11 of the last 19 renewals, 23% above normal and yield of profit £14.38 (17.33% ROI) to a £1 stake at Betfair starting prices.

Group Performers

Of the 91 horses who ran in a Group 1 race prior to Royal Ascot, 12 went on to win the Coronation Stakes.



The Group 2 King Edward VII Stakes is open to three-year-old colts and geldings and raced over a distance of 1 mile and 4 furlongs

Key trends:


The Favourite in Previous Race

Keep an eye on horses that were market leaders in the race prior to the King Edward VII Stakes.

Of the 51 horses of this type 12 have won from 19 renewals, a statistical performance 63% above normal.

Country of Breeding

Horses bred in Great Britain have won 9 renewals from a population of 55 horses. Based on market prices their performance is 53% above expectation

Position in Market

Another race where it may pay to focus on horses at the head of the market.

The top 3 in the betting account for 15 of the last 19 renewals and were profitable to a £1 stake at Betfair starting prices (£9.01, 14.76% ROI).



The Group 3 Albany Stakes is in its 14th year of existence and is open to 2yo fillies and raced over a distance of 6 furlongs.

In respect to running styles, the trend so far is to favour horses that race off the pace “held up” with 10 of the last 14 won by to horses racing in this manner.

This result is 58% better than expected producing a profit £107.92 (93.03%) at Betfair starting prices (to a £1 stakes) so far.

Below is our Proform Race map for the race