Cheltenham gets the National Hunt show on the roadOctober 16th, 2014
The curtain continues to raise on the National Hunt season at Cheltenham this Saturday and we focus our attention on the Marie Currie Care Handicap Chase and use the unique features within Proform to reveal key stats, facts, trends and pointers for this race based on the last 17 renewals since 1997.
4 favourites and 7 second favourites have won this race
Paddy Power Gold Cup
As detailed below, recent winners of the race have a connection with the Paddy Power Gold Cup in some way, shape or form.
- 2013 winner John’s Spirit went on to win the Paddy Power Gold Cup and was 3rd in Byrne Group Plate at the Festival in 2014
- 2012 winner Nadiya De La Vega was then 3rd in the Paddy Power Gold Cup, 3rd at the Trails day at the end of January and went on to win a Grade 3 chase at Fairyhouse in April 2013
- 2011 winner Billie Magern could only manage 5th in the Paddy Power
- 2010 winner Edgbriar was only 10th in the Paddy Power
- 2009 winner Poquelin was 2nd in the Paddy Power and then won the Boylesports Gold Cup at the December Meeting and was 2nd in the Ryanair Chase at the 2010 Festival
Country of Breeding
French bred horses have won 5 from 43 (67% better than expected) and German bred horses have won 2 from 5 however, the later is from a small sample size.
GB bred horses are 3 from 43 (31% worse than expected). Irish bred horses statistically perform 13% lower than expected (7 from a population of 95 horses).
6 to 9yo’s have won all 17 renewals of this race with 6yo’s winning 7 races in total. Younger horses (4 and 5yo’s) are 0 from 8 and horses aged 10yo+ are 0 from 30.
Horses wearing headgear perform 48% below expectations winning 2 races from a population of 48 horses. Contrast this against horses not donning any form of headgear who have a positive expectation, 14% above normal (15 from 149).
Days Since Last Run
Take note of horses making their season debut who have won 12 of the last 17 renewals (from a populations of 106 runners, 17% better than expected).
Jonjo O’Neill trained horses have 2 won races and paced on 2 occasions from 9 runners (44% win/place SR). Philip Hobbs 0 from 18 (3 placed). Venetia Williams 1 win and 2 placed from 7 runners (42% win place SR) and Nigel Twiston-Davies 2 wins and 1 place from 12 runners
Horses ridden by claimers 0 from 27